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A Note on Uncertainty

Kirjoittanut Mika Aaltonen | Feb 18, 2026 7:15:00 AM

One of the fundamental characteristics of polycrisis is uncertainty. Not just about specific outcomes, but about the nature of the challenges themselves.


THE POLYCRISIS does not pretend to offer simple solutions or certain predictions. Instead, it is written to provide some frameworks, tools, and approaches that can help navigate
uncertainty and complexity more effectively.


Our goal is not to eliminate uncertainty, which is impossible in complex systems, but to
develop capabilities for learning, adapting, and responding effectively in the face of
uncertainty.

This requires intellectual rigorousness, experimental approaches, and a willingness to
continuously update our understanding as new information becomes available, no matter
how well we think we have mastered complexity science.